2024 Outlook
Brand and Product Development
Our strategy is founded on a strong premium house of brands, highly regarded by both budtenders and consumers alike. Guided by consumer research, we continually innovate our products to anticipate market trends. Our commitment to quality and excellence is evident throughout all areas of our business, seeking to deliver products and services that consistently meet the highest quality standards.
Launch into Vape Category
Rubicon launched into the vape category with our 1964 Supply Co™ brand. The introduction of vapes strategically aligns with our market expansion strategy and offers substantial growth prospects. The vape market has demonstrated robust growth over recent years and trends in Canada and the US support the vape category’s increasing prominence, rivaling or surpassing traditional flower products.
Using our Delta grown genetics and supplementing with biomass of the same genetics grown at partners, we launched Comatose and Blue Dream Full Spectrum Extract (“FSE”) resin vapes in Ontario, BC, and Alberta in May 2024. Following strong demand, we launched new cultivars, with GLTO #41 in late July 2024 and White Rainbow in October 2024. We anticipate launching a fifth vape SKU in market by the end of 2024.
In line with our approach to the live rosin edibles we launched under the brand in 2023, we are focused on delivering products that maintain a competitive edge through superior quality, right price to value ratio leveraging our established and reputable brands. We are confident that by capitalizing on this opportunity, over time we can achieve comparable financial success with our vape offerings as we have with our flower business.
Wildflower™’s Leadership in Cannabis Wellness
Wildflower™’s prominence in the cannabis wellness sector is driven by its notable topical products. The Company has expanded the brand to adjacent categories, including edibles, oils, and capsules designed to address specific wellness needs such as sleep, pain relief, and anxiety reduction. While we expect more competition to enter the topical and wellness category, we are expanding the brand into other categories and anticipate steady growth and momentum behind the daily wellness consumer.
Launch of New Genetics
Rubicon plans to continue to launch new and novel genetics into its Simply Bare™ Organic and 1964 Supply Co™ brands to continue leadership in the premium cannabis market. Launches in 2024 include BC Organic Zookies, BC Organic Power Mintz, BC Organic Fruit Loopz, and BC Organic Pineapple Sour under the Simply Bare™ Organic brand. Blue Dream, Stinky Pinky and LA Kush Cake have been launched under the 1964 Supply Co™ brand in 2024 with Sour Tangie expected to launch before the end of the year.
Growth from Solid Business Fundamentals
Consistent quality and systematic delivery to our customers, including the provincial distributors and retailers, and consumers to meet their needs is imperative to be successful in the Canadian cannabis industry. In 2024 we are investing in an Enterprise Resource Planning (“ERP”) system which is necessary for our business to deliver more growth in future and reduce reliance on key people within our internal systems. Project costs are estimated to reach $1 million, with $0.6 million incurred in the first nine months of 2024. While a resource intensive process, this ERP implementation readies our business for growth in the future.
Financial
We believe that our commitment to cannabis quality, strategic brand positioning, diverse product portfolio, and committed team will position us as one of the premier cannabis companies in Canada. For 2024, we continue to anticipate year over year growth in net revenue, supported by modest increases in our cost base, excluding the impact of the ERP implementation occurring across 2024, thereby enhancing our operating leverage. While we expect growth in 2024, we also anticipate that much of the growth will come from our branded products that are produced using external capacity and thereby deliver lower gross margin than our current mix. Furthermore, we anticipate continued fierce competition in the distressed Canadian cannabis industry, leading to the maintenance or growth of value and standard pricing tiers, rather than premium price tiers. Notwithstanding these pressures, we expect to deliver continued operating positive cash flow in the year ahead and plan to refinance our debt to a longer-term mortgage facility before the end of 2024.
Conference Call
The Company will be hosting a conference call to discuss Q3 2024 results on Thursday, November 14, 2024. Conference call details are as follows:
Time: 7:00 AM PT / 10:00 AM ET
Conference ID: 86375
Local dial-in: +1 (289) 514 5100
Toll Free N. America: +1 (800) 717 1738
Webcast: https://onlinexperiences.com/Launch/QReg/ShowUUID=A9E9405C-21D9-4072-B6D5-2CE5F6ACE8DB
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This press release contains certain financial performance measures that are not recognized or defined under IFRS (“Non-GAAP Measures”) including, but not limited to, “Adjusted EBITDA”. As a result, this data may not be comparable to data presented by other companies.
The Company believes that these Non-GAAP Measures are useful indicators of operating performance and are specifically used by management to assess the financial and operational performance of the Company as well as its liquidity. Accordingly, they should not be considered in isolation nor as a substitute for analysis of our financial information reported under IFRS. For more information, please refer to the “Selected Financial Information” section in the MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2023, which is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca.
Adjusted EBITDA
Below is the Company’s quantitative reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA calculated as earnings (losses) from operations before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization, share-based compensation expense, and fair value changes. The following table presents the Company’s reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to the most comparable IFRS financial measure for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024.